The Uses in Forex Trading of Moving Averages and MACD
Carl's 2 Cents:
I don't use moving averages in
my trading because I think it requires different
combination of MAs for various currency pairs.
I found that cumbersome. Check out
Barchart.com though because the website has
performance chart based on different MA
combinations. I do use MACD. Take a
look at my strategy here -
MACD Histogram & Momentum Divergence.
Moving Averages: If you consider the "trend-is-your-friend"
statement of technical analysis as a true sentence, the moving
averages will be very helpful. Moving averages tell the average
price in a given point of time over a defined period of time.
They are called moving because they reflect the latest average,
while adhering to the same time measure.
A weakness of moving averages is that they lag the market, so
they do not necessarily signal a change in trends. To address
this issue, using a shorter period, such as 5 or 10 day moving
average, would be more reflective of the recent price action
than the 40 or 150-day moving averages.
Alternatively, moving averages may be used by combining two
averages of distinct time- frames. Whether using 5 and 20-day
MA, or 40 and 150-day MA, buy signals are usually detected when
the shorter-term average crosses above the longer-term average,
i.e. price will likely go up. Conversely, sell signals are
suggested when the shorter average falls below the longer one,
i.e. price will likely go down.
There are three kind of mathematically distinct moving
averages: Simple MA; Linearly Weighted MA; and Exponentially
Smoothed. The latter choice is the preferred one because it
assigns greater weight for the most recent data, and considers
data in the entire life of the instrument making of it a more
accurate indicator.
MACD: Moving Average Convergence Divergence: MACD is a more
detailed method of using moving averages to find trading signals
from price charts. Developed by Gerald Appel, the MACD plots the
difference between a 26-day exponential moving average and a
12-day exponential moving average. A 9- day moving average is
generally used as a trigger line, meaning when the MACD crosses
below this trigger it is a bearish signal and when it crosses
above it, it's a bullish signal, with the corresponding
implications for the currency's price in each particular
situation.
As with other studies, traders will look to MACD studies to
provide early signals or divergences between market prices and a
technical indicator. If the MACD turns positive and makes higher
lows while prices are still tanking, this could be a strong buy
signal. Conversely, if the MACD makes lower highs while prices
are making new highs, this could be a strong bearish divergence
and a sell signal.
About the author:
Adrian Pablo; Forex
traderand freelance writer.
>> http://www.1-Forex.com
Written by: Adrian Pablo
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